Thoughts - Not Written In Stone

 

September-13 -2025

 

Absolutism—when a single ruler (like a king, emperor, or dictator) holds unchecked power—comes with several dangers, both for individuals and societies. Here are the key risks:

1. Suppression of Rights and Freedoms

  • Citizens often lose freedoms of speech, religion, press, and assembly.

  • Dissent is treated as disloyalty, leading to censorship, imprisonment, or even execution.

2. Abuse of Power

  • Without checks and balances, leaders can act in their own interest rather than the people’s.

  • Corruption and favoritism often flourish under absolute regimes.

3. Lack of Accountability

  • Rulers are not answerable to laws or representative institutions.

  • Mistakes (wars, economic blunders, unjust policies) can devastate society without any way to correct course.

4. Economic Exploitation

  • Heavy taxation, forced labor, or seizure of property can be imposed to fund the ruler’s ambitions (wars, palaces, luxuries).

  • Ordinary citizens may face poverty while elites thrive.

5. Suppression of Innovation and Progress

  • Free thought and debate are discouraged.

  • Scientific, artistic, and social progress may stagnate if they threaten the ruler’s authority.

6. Political Instability

  • Absolutist regimes often collapse violently because power transitions (like succession disputes) turn into wars or revolutions.

  • Repression builds resentment, which can erupt into rebellion.

7. Cult of Personality & Propaganda

  • Absolutist rulers frequently use propaganda to glorify themselves and rewrite history.

  • This can distort truth, weaken education, and create generations loyal to an illusion.

8. Human Rights Violations

  • Arbitrary arrests, torture, and executions become tools to maintain control.

  • Whole groups (ethnic, religious, political) may be persecuted.


👉 Historical examples:

  • Louis XIV of France centralized power, leading to immense cultural achievements but also crushing debt that helped spark the French Revolution.

  • Tsarist Russia maintained autocracy until revolution erupted in 1917.

  • 20th-century dictatorships (e.g., Hitler, Stalin, Mussolini) showed how absolute power can lead to mass violence and genocide.

 

 

9-16-2025

 

Self‑censorship — deliberately withholding or softening your thoughts, feelings, or information because of fear of consequences — has costs at individual, social, and institutional levels. Key dangers:

- Psychological harm: chronic suppression raises stress, anxiety, depression, resentment, and can erode self‑esteem and identity authenticity.
- Stifled creativity and growth: hiding unconventional ideas prevents experimentation, learning, and innovation.
- Poor decision‑making and groupthink: when dissent is muted, organizations and teams miss critical feedback and blind spots, increasing risk of mistakes.
- Erosion of trust and relationships: lack of candor makes relationships superficial; when withheld views surface later, trust can break down.
- Weakening public discourse and accountability: widespread silence narrows debate, allows bad policies or abuses to go unchecked, and undermines democratic processes.
- Entrenchment of harmful norms and misinformation: silence lets bias, discrimination, and falsehoods persist unchallenged.
- Institutional stagnation and reduced performance: workplaces that tolerate self‑censorship lose engagement, productivity, and talent retention.
- Increased likelihood of hidden problems and crises: problems suppressed internally often worsen and become costly to fix later.
- Growth of informal, risky channels: when official channels are unsafe, people use rumors, gossip, or anonymous outlets that can spread misinformation or cause harm.
- Potential for coercion and abuse: in environments where speaking up is dangerous, power imbalances deepen and abuses are more likely to continue.

Signs someone or a group is self‑censoring
- Repeated hedging, vague language, or avoiding key topics.
- Few or no dissenting views in meetings.
- People asking permission or apologizing before speaking.
- Important issues left unreported or discussed only privately.

How to reduce harmful self‑censorship
- Build psychological safety: leaders should invite dissent, model vulnerability, and respond constructively to criticism.
- Start small: practice honest but low‑risk statements with trusted people to build confidence.
- Use structured feedback channels: anonymous surveys, suggestion boxes, or third‑party mediators.
- Teach communication skills: framing criticism constructively, using data, and focusing on issues rather than people.
- Clarify norms and protections: explicit anti‑retaliation policies, NDAs where appropriate, and safe reporting procedures.
- Distinguish real risks from perceived ones: assess legal/safety concerns realistically and plan discreetly when needed.

 

9-17-2025

 

Tariffs

 

Tariffs affect self‑sufficiency in several direct and indirect ways. Key impacts:

- Make imports more expensive, encouraging domestic production: higher import prices raise demand for local substitutes, pushing firms and consumers toward domestic goods and increasing short‑run self‑reliance.
- Raise domestic prices and reduce consumer welfare: consumers pay more and face less variety, which can reduce living standards even as domestic output rises.
- Protect inefficient industries: tariffs can shelter noncompetitive firms from foreign competition, leading to misallocation of resources and higher long‑term costs for self‑sufficiency.
- Distort resource allocation: sectors receiving protection expand even if they lack comparative advantage, diverting capital and labor from more productive uses.
- Spur import substitution and capacity building (sometimes): tariffs can give infant industries time to scale, develop skills, and invest in capacity — but success depends on complementary policies (R&D, training, competition) and time limits.
- Invite retaliation and reduce trade volumes: trading partners may impose counter‑tariffs, harming export sectors and limiting access to intermediate inputs needed for domestic production.
- Disrupt global supply chains and increase costs for manufacturers: many firms rely on imported inputs; tariffs raise production costs and can undermine efforts to build integrated domestic self‑sufficiency.
- Create short‑term employment gains but uncertain long‑term jobs: protected industries may hire more workers initially, but inefficiency and higher consumer costs can suppress broader employment growth.
- Encourage vertical integration or relocation of production: firms may onshore production to avoid tariffs, which can boost domestic capacity but often increases costs and requires investment.
- Generate government revenue but also administrative burden: tariffs raise revenue that can fund industrial policy, yet collection and enforcement add bureaucracy and opportunities for corruption.
- Increase incentives for smuggling and black markets: high tariffs can make illegal imports profitable, undermining formal self‑sufficiency efforts.

Bottom line: tariffs can promote aspects of self‑sufficiency in the short run by making imports costlier and protecting domestic producers, but they often raise prices, reduce efficiency, risk retaliation, and require complementary policies to yield sustainable, productive self‑reliance.